Bracket Update- 1/10
1 seeds
UNC (ACC)
Kansas (Big 12)
Memphis (C-USA)
UCLA (Pac-10)
2 seeds
Tennessee (SEC)
Georgetown (Big East)
Washington St.
Michigan St. (Big Ten)
3 seeds
Texas
Indiana
Duke
Texas A&M
4 seeds
Vandy
Marquette
Butler (Horizon)
Villanova
5 seeds
Ole Miss
Pittsburgh
Stanford
Xavier (A-10)
6 seeds
Oregon
Dayton
Wisconsin
Arizona
7 seeds
Miami Fl.
Rhode Island
Clemson
St. Mary’s (WCC)
8 seeds
Virginia
New Mexico (Mt. West)
Arizona St.
UMass
9 seeds
West Virginia
Ohio St.
Gonzaga
Arkansas
10 seeds
California
BYU
George Mason (CAA)
Baylor
11 seeds
Notre Dame
Drake (MVC)
Syracuse
Florida
12 seeds
NC State
Houston
Kansas St.
Kent St. (MAC)
13 seeds
UCSB (Big West)
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Utah St. (WAC)
14 seed
Davidson (Southern)
Holy Cross (Patriot)
IUPUI (Summit)
Niagara (MAAC)
15 seeds
UNC Asheville (Big South)
Montana St. (Big Sky)
Robert Morris (NEC)
UMBC (Am East)
16 seeds
Austin Peay (OVC)
Mercer (A-Sun)
Hampton (MEAC)
Columbia (Ivy)
Arkansas Pine-Bluff (SWAC)
Big East- 7
Pac 10- 7
ACC- 6
Big 12- 5
SEC- 5
A-10- 4
Big Ten- 4
C-USA- 2
Mt. West- 2
WCC- 2
In
Ole Miss
Baylor
Notre Dame
Drake
Syracuse
Arizona St.
Houston
SFA
Niagara
UNC Asheville
UMBC
Out
USC
Providence
UConn
Southern Illinois
Mizzou
Boston College
Purdue
Sam Houston St.
Loyola (MD)
High Point
Boston U
First Four Out
Oklahoma, Wake Forest, Nebraska, Florida St.
Also Considered
Louisville, Connecticut, Providence, Boston College, USC, Illinois St., Mizzou, Purdue, UNLV, Akron, Creighton, Minnesota, Boise St., Seton Hall, Penn St., Alabama, UAB, Duquesne
UNC (ACC)
Kansas (Big 12)
Memphis (C-USA)
UCLA (Pac-10)
2 seeds
Tennessee (SEC)
Georgetown (Big East)
Washington St.
Michigan St. (Big Ten)
3 seeds
Texas
Indiana
Duke
Texas A&M
4 seeds
Vandy
Marquette
Butler (Horizon)
Villanova
5 seeds
Ole Miss
Pittsburgh
Stanford
Xavier (A-10)
6 seeds
Oregon
Dayton
Wisconsin
Arizona
7 seeds
Miami Fl.
Rhode Island
Clemson
St. Mary’s (WCC)
8 seeds
Virginia
New Mexico (Mt. West)
Arizona St.
UMass
9 seeds
West Virginia
Ohio St.
Gonzaga
Arkansas
10 seeds
California
BYU
George Mason (CAA)
Baylor
11 seeds
Notre Dame
Drake (MVC)
Syracuse
Florida
12 seeds
NC State
Houston
Kansas St.
Kent St. (MAC)
13 seeds
UCSB (Big West)
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Utah St. (WAC)
14 seed
Davidson (Southern)
Holy Cross (Patriot)
IUPUI (Summit)
Niagara (MAAC)
15 seeds
UNC Asheville (Big South)
Montana St. (Big Sky)
Robert Morris (NEC)
UMBC (Am East)
16 seeds
Austin Peay (OVC)
Mercer (A-Sun)
Hampton (MEAC)
Columbia (Ivy)
Arkansas Pine-Bluff (SWAC)
Big East- 7
Pac 10- 7
ACC- 6
Big 12- 5
SEC- 5
A-10- 4
Big Ten- 4
C-USA- 2
Mt. West- 2
WCC- 2
In
Ole Miss
Baylor
Notre Dame
Drake
Syracuse
Arizona St.
Houston
SFA
Niagara
UNC Asheville
UMBC
Out
USC
Providence
UConn
Southern Illinois
Mizzou
Boston College
Purdue
Sam Houston St.
Loyola (MD)
High Point
Boston U
First Four Out
Oklahoma, Wake Forest, Nebraska, Florida St.
Also Considered
Louisville, Connecticut, Providence, Boston College, USC, Illinois St., Mizzou, Purdue, UNLV, Akron, Creighton, Minnesota, Boise St., Seton Hall, Penn St., Alabama, UAB, Duquesne
posted by Andrew at 12:34 AM
3 Comments:
I have a few concerns with your bracket. I'll stay away from Villanova, since you could project them as a 4 (although I believe the loss at Depaul and win vs. Pitt is a pretty good indicator of how the season will go.)
My major concern, however, is George Mason. GMU did not have the best OOC resume, losing at HOME to ECU, and on the road to Kent St. These two losses counteract the win over Dayton enough that I would not consider them worth of an at-large bid. If they had gone undefeated in the CAA (which is really weak this year), they might have had a chance. However, they proceeded to drop games against Georgia St. and Delaware that they should not have lost. Do you really think that even if they could run the table (which seems highly doubtful at this point), they would have a tournament quality resume?
NC St. Assuming you are doing the projection model, I don't see how NC St. gets in. Ken Pomeroy is projecting them to go 4-12 in conference, leading to a 15-15 record which includes losses to UNO and ECU. The only quality win they have came against Villanova. How is this a tournament team?
Finally, how does Penn St. get considered at all? 4 bad losses, no good wins, and a Big-10 schedule where I could see them going 9-9 at best. I mean, Seton Hall is a stretch, but could potentially do it. Penn St.... no
Other than that, keep up the good work. I respect you for trying to predict the March bracket, though I believe that your January 10th bracket will be about as accurate as mine (or anyone else who doesn't try to predict).
This comment has been removed by the author.
Thanks for commenting. It is always good to get feedback.
I can't really argue with any of the points that you brought up but I do think that NC St. has a pretty good team and they went on a run at the end of last season. I think they have a chance to do it again especially as their frosh point guard gains some ACC experience.
The Big Ten is pretty weak this year and Penn St. had showed some improvement but with Claxton done for the year, they are done also.
Mason's resume isn't that great but the at-large teams below them weren't vastly better. This year there are going to be some pretty bad at-large teams in the field so some auto bids might be higher than expected. That said VCU has surpassed Mason for the CAA auto-bid in my eyes.
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