Bracket Update- 1/17
*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*
1 seeds
UNC (ACC)
Kansas (Big 12)
Memphis (C-USA)
UCLA (Pac-10)
2 seeds
Tennessee (SEC)
Washington St.Indiana (Big Ten)
Georgetown (Big East)
3 seeds
Duke
Michigan St.
Pittsburgh
Marquette
4 seeds
Texas A&M
Texas
Butler (Horizon)
Ole Miss
5 seeds
Vandy
Oregon
Wisconsin
Dayton (A-10)
6 seeds
Xavier
Arizona
Rhode IslandStanford
7 seeds
Clemson
St. Mary’s (WCC)
Arizona St.
UMass
8 seeds
Drake (MVC)
Louisville
Miami Fl.
Gonzaga
9 seeds
Villanova
Kansas St.
West Virginia
San Diego St. (Mt. West)
10 seeds
Arkansas
Baylor
VCU (CAA)
California
11 seeds
Notre Dame
Ohio St.
Syracuse
Florida
12 seeds
Providence
Boston College
Missouri
Kent St. (MAC)
13 seeds
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Utah St. (WAC)
Davidson (Southern)
14 seed
UCSB (Big West)
IUPUI (Summit)
Niagara (MAAC)
UNC Asheville (Big South)
15 seeds
Robert Morris (NEC)
Holy Cross (Patriot)
Northern Arizona (Big Sky)
UMBC (Am East)
16 seeds
Austin Peay (OVC)
Mercer (A-Sun)
Hampton (MEAC)
Columbia (Ivy)
Arkansas Pine-Bluff (SWAC)
Big East- 9
Pac 10- 7
Big 12- 6
ACC- 5
SEC- 5
A-10- 4
Big Ten- 4
WCC- 2
In
Louisville
San Diego St.
Providence
VCU
Boston College
Missouri
Northern Arizona
Out
Virginia
New Mexico
BYU
George Mason
NC State
Houston
Montana St.
First Four Out
Purdue, UConn, Oklahoma, Florida St.
Also Considered
Illinois St., Wake Forest, UNLV, BYU, Creighton, Nebraska, Houston, USC, Virginia, Mississippi St., NC State, Charlotte, George Mason, New Mexico, Akron, Minnesota, Utah, UTEP, Boise St., UAB, Duquesne, Virginia Tech, Texas Tech
1 seeds
UNC (ACC)
Kansas (Big 12)
Memphis (C-USA)
UCLA (Pac-10)
2 seeds
Tennessee (SEC)
Washington St.Indiana (Big Ten)
Georgetown (Big East)
3 seeds
Duke
Michigan St.
Pittsburgh
Marquette
4 seeds
Texas A&M
Texas
Butler (Horizon)
Ole Miss
5 seeds
Vandy
Oregon
Wisconsin
Dayton (A-10)
6 seeds
Xavier
Arizona
Rhode IslandStanford
7 seeds
Clemson
St. Mary’s (WCC)
Arizona St.
UMass
8 seeds
Drake (MVC)
Louisville
Miami Fl.
Gonzaga
9 seeds
Villanova
Kansas St.
West Virginia
San Diego St. (Mt. West)
10 seeds
Arkansas
Baylor
VCU (CAA)
California
11 seeds
Notre Dame
Ohio St.
Syracuse
Florida
12 seeds
Providence
Boston College
Missouri
Kent St. (MAC)
13 seeds
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Utah St. (WAC)
Davidson (Southern)
14 seed
UCSB (Big West)
IUPUI (Summit)
Niagara (MAAC)
UNC Asheville (Big South)
15 seeds
Robert Morris (NEC)
Holy Cross (Patriot)
Northern Arizona (Big Sky)
UMBC (Am East)
16 seeds
Austin Peay (OVC)
Mercer (A-Sun)
Hampton (MEAC)
Columbia (Ivy)
Arkansas Pine-Bluff (SWAC)
Big East- 9
Pac 10- 7
Big 12- 6
ACC- 5
SEC- 5
A-10- 4
Big Ten- 4
WCC- 2
In
Louisville
San Diego St.
Providence
VCU
Boston College
Missouri
Northern Arizona
Out
Virginia
New Mexico
BYU
George Mason
NC State
Houston
Montana St.
First Four Out
Purdue, UConn, Oklahoma, Florida St.
Also Considered
Illinois St., Wake Forest, UNLV, BYU, Creighton, Nebraska, Houston, USC, Virginia, Mississippi St., NC State, Charlotte, George Mason, New Mexico, Akron, Minnesota, Utah, UTEP, Boise St., UAB, Duquesne, Virginia Tech, Texas Tech
posted by Andrew at 1:38 AM
2 Comments:
The MVC's simply going to get at least two teams into the Dance, as the league will likely finish either 7th or 8th in overall RPI, depending on how the league does with its BracketBuster schedule.
Looking at the last nine years of data, the 27 conferences that finished 7th, 8th or 9th in overall conference RPI have had an average of 2.9 teams in the field of 65.
25 of those 27 instances were multibids... only the A-10 in 2002 and the Mountain West in 2001 were one-bid leagues, and in both cases, there wasn't a strong contender for an at-large berth.
The Valley's cetrainly topsy turvy this year, but just because it's not SIU or Creighton at the top doesn't mean that this league should only get one bid. I know that the selection committee supposedly doesn't look at conference rankings, but it's hard to ingore the historical data and think that a top-8 conference like the MVC can only be a one-bid league like you're suggesting right now.
Why do you believe that Oregon will begin playing consistently enough to warrant at 5 seed?
It seems that you clearly think that Georgetown, Pitt, and Marquette are going to run away with conference,since they are on the 2/3 seed line while the next Big East team is Louisville as an 8. Defend this, given that WV has beaten Marquette, Villanova has beaten Pittsburgh, and UConn almost beat Georgetown.
Missouri? Are you serious? On what basis do you think they will end up in the tournament, especially since they are only the 6th best team in the Big XII. They have shown that they cannot win on the road, and R/N wins carry weight in the selection committees decision.
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