Bracket Analysis, Play-in Game Pick, and Final NIT Update

63/65- Picked Correctly
35/65- Seeded Correctly
58/65- Within One Seed Line

I missed on Oregon and South Alabama. The two teams that I had in that missed were Illinois St. and Arizona St. who were my last two teams in so I am not real surprised there. South Alabama was my first team out and I had them in until Georgia won. The Jaguars were the only team I felt really bad about keeping out and I almost did keep them in instead of Illinois St. but deciding factor for me was conference RPI which Illinois St. won. Illinois St. also made its conference tournament final while South Alabama didn't but I'm just really splitting hairs there. I was pretty surprised that Oregon made it and especially surprised that they got as high a seed as they did, they were my fourth team out but I'm guessing the committee believed the Pac-10 to be strong this year. Arizona St.'s OOC SOS was probably the main reason Oregon and Arizona got in ahead of the Sun Devils.

Play-in Game Pick: Mount St. Mary's over Coppin St.

NIT
1- Arizona St., Ohio St., Syracuse, Virginia Tech
2- UMass, Illinois St., VCU, Dayton
3- New Mexico, Ole Miss, Florida, Maryland
4- UAB, Minnesota, Houston, Florida St.
5- Wake Forest, Southern Illinois, Creighton, Rhode Island
6- Nebraska, Charlotte, Cal, Oklahoma St.
7- Texas Tech, SFA, Utah St., UCSB
8- UNC Asheville, Robert Morris, Morgan St., Alabama St.

Others- Wright St., Seton Hall, Akron, Miami OH, Nevada, Washington, Ohio, UNC Wilmington, IUPUI, New Mexico St., Cleveland St.

4- ACC, A-10
3- Big 12, MVC
2- Pac-10, Big Ten, SEC, C-USA
1- Big East, CAA, Mt. West, Southland, WAC, Big West, Big South, NEC, MEAC, SWAC

FINAL Bracket Update- 3/16 5:46 PM

1 seeds
UNC (ACC)
Memphis (C-USA)
UCLA (Pac-10)
Tennessee

2 seeds
Kansas (Big 12)
Texas
Duke
Wisconsin (Big Ten)

3 seeds
Georgetown
Stanford
Xavier
Louisville

4 seeds
UConn
Notre Dame
Pitt (Big East)
Drake (MVC)

5 seeds
Washington St.
Marquette
Michigan St.
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
USC
Clemson
Purdue
Vandy

7 seeds
Indiana
Oklahoma
West Virginia
BYU

8 seeds
Gonzaga
UNLV (Mt. West)
Arkansas
Miami Fl.

9 seeds
Miss St.
Texas A&M
St. Mary’s
Kansas St.

10 seeds
Kent St. (MAC)
Baylor
Arizona
Villanova

11 seeds
Temple (A-10)
St. Joe’s
Kentucky
Davidson (Southern)

12 seeds
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
Illinois St.
Arizona St.
George Mason (CAA)

13 seeds
Georgia (SEC)
San Diego (WCC)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Siena (MAAC)

14 seed
Cornell (Ivy)
CS Fullerton (Big West)
Boise St. (WAC)
Belmont (A-Sun)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)
UMBC (Am East)

16 seeds
Portland St. (Big Sky)
TX-Arlington (Southland)
Mississippi Valley St. (SWAC)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)*
Coppin St. (MEAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
SEC- 6
ACC- 4
Big Ten- 4
A-10- 3
WCC- 3
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2

In
Georgia (Auto Bid)

Out
South Alabama

Last Five In
St. Joe’s, Villanova, Kentucky, Illinois St., Arizona St.

First Four Out
South Alabama, Ohio St., Va Tech, Oregon

Also Considered
UMass, VCU, Dayton

Bracket Update 3/16 1 AM

At least one update tomorrow as I take a last look at everyone's final resume. I'd consider every at-large team up to and including Baylor or maybe Arizona to be pretty safe heading into Selection Sunday

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)
Tennessee

2 seeds
Texas (Big 12)
Kansas
Duke
Wisconsin (Big Ten)

3 seeds
Georgetown
Stanford
Xavier (A-10)
Louisville

4 seeds
UConn
Notre Dame
Pitt (Big East)
Drake (MVC)

5 seeds
Washington St.
Marquette
Michigan St.
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
USC
Purdue
Vandy
Clemson

7 seeds
Indiana
Oklahoma
West Virginia
BYU

8 seeds
Gonzaga
Arkansas (SEC)
UNLV (Mt. West)
Miami Fl.

9 seeds
Miss St.
Texas A&M
St. Mary’s
Kansas St.

10 seeds
Kent St. (MAC)
Baylor
Arizona
Villanova

11 seeds
Temple (A-10)
Kentucky
St. Joe’s
Davidson (Southern)

12 seeds
Arizona St.
South Alabama
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
Illinois St.

13 seeds
San Diego (WCC)
George Mason (CAA)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Siena (MAAC)

14 seed
Cornell (Ivy)
CS Fullerton (Big West)
Boise St. (WAC)
Belmont (A-Sun)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)
UMBC (Am East)

16 seeds
Portland St. (Big Sky)
TX-Arlington (Southland)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)
Mississippi Valley St. (SWAC)*
Coppin St. (MEAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
SEC- 5
ACC- 4
Big Ten- 4
A-10- 3
WCC- 3
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2
Sun Belt- 2

In
Temple
Coppin St.

Out
Virginia Tech
Morgan St.

First Four Out
Ohio St., UMass, Va Tech, Oregon

Also Considered
VCU, Dayton

Bracket Update- 3/15 1:00 PM

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Texas (Big 12)
Duke
Kansas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Stanford
Xavier (A-10)
Louisville

4 seeds
Uconn
Notre Dame
Michigan St.
Drake (MVC)

5 seeds
Pitt
Washington St.
Marquette
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
USC
Purdue
Vandy
Indiana

7 seeds
Clemson
Oklahoma
West Virginia
BYU (Mt. West)

8 seeds
Gonzaga
Miss St.
Texas A&M
Miami Fl.

9 seeds
UNLV
St. Mary’s
Arkansas
Kansas St.

10 seeds
Arizona
Baylor
Kentucky
Kent St. (MAC)

11 seeds
St. Joe’s
Villanova
Davidson (Southern)
Virginia Tech

12 seeds
Arizona St.
South Alabama
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
San Diego (WCC)

13 seeds
Illinois St.
George Mason (CAA)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Siena (MAAC)

14 seed
Cornell (Ivy)
CS Fullerton (Big West)
Boise St. (WAC)
Belmont (A-Sun)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)
Portland St. (Big Sky)

16 seeds
UMBC (Am East)
Morgan St. (MEAC)
TX-Arlington (Southland)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)*
Mississippi Valley St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
ACC- 5
SEC- 5
Big Ten- 4
WCC- 3
A-10- 2
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2
Sun Belt- 2

In
St. Joe’s
Virginia Tech
Boise St.
TX-Arlington
CS Fullerton
Miss Valley St.

Out
UMass
Ohio St.
Utah St.
SFA
UCSB
Alabama St.

First Four Out
Temple, Ohio St., UMass, Oregon

Also Considered
VCU, Dayton

NIT 3/15

Bold= Auto Bids

NIT
1- Temple, Ohio St., UMass, Oregon
2- VCU, Dayton, Syracuse, New Mexico
3- Ole Miss, Florida, Maryland, UAB
4- Minnesota, Houston, Florida St., Wake Forest
5- Southern Illinois, Creighton, Rhode Island, Nebraska
6- Cal, Oklahoma St., Texas Tech, SDSU
7- Washington, SFA, Charlotte, Utah St.
8- UCSB, UNC Asheville, Robert Morris, Alabama St.

Others- Wright St., Seton Hall, Akron, Miami OH, Nevada, Ohio, UNC Wilmington, IUPUI, New Mexico St., Cleveland St.

5- A-10
3- ACC, Big 12, Pac-10
2- Big Ten, SEC, Mt. West, MVC, C-USA
1- Big East, CAA, Southland, WAC, Big West, Big South, NEC, SWAC

Bracket Update 3/14 9:00 AM

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Texas (Big 12)
Duke
Kansas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Xavier (A-10)
Stanford
Louisville

4 seeds
Purdue
Notre Dame
Vandy
UConn

5 seeds
Drake (MVC)
Indiana
Washington St.
Marquette

6 seeds
Michigan St.
Butler (Horizon)
USC
Pitt

7 seeds
Clemson
Oklahoma
West Virginia
BYU (Mt. West)

8 seeds
Gonzaga
Kansas St.
Miami Fl.
Miss St.

9 seeds
UNLV
St. Mary’s
Arizona
Texas A&M

10 seeds
Baylor
Arkansas
Kentucky
Kent St. (MAC)

11 seeds
Villanova
Davidson (Southern)
South Alabama
Ohio St.

12 seeds
Arizona St.
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
UMass
San Diego (WCC)

13 seeds
Illinois St.
George Mason (CAA)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Utah St. (WAC)

14 seed
Siena (MAAC)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Cornell (Ivy)
UCSB (Big West)

15 seeds
Belmont (A-Sun)
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)

16 seeds
Portland St. (Big Sky)
UMBC (Am East)
Morgan St. (MEAC)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)*
Alabama St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
Big Ten- 5
SEC- 5
ACC- 4
WCC- 3
A-10- 2
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2
Sun Belt- 2

In
Ohio St.

Out
New Mexico

First Four Out
Oregon, Virginia Tech, VCU, St. Joe’s

Also Considered
Dayton

NIT 3/14 9:00 AM

NIT
1- Oregon, Virginia Tech, VCU, St. Joe’s
2- Dayton, New Mexico, Temple, Syracuse
3- Florida St., Ole Miss, Florida, Maryland
4- UAB, Houston, Wake Forest, Southern Illinois
5- Oklahoma St., Creighton, Rhode Island, Nebraska
6- Texas Tech, Minnesota, SDSU, Cal
7- Washington, Charlotte, Wright St., Seton Hall
8- Nevada, Akron, UNC Asheville, Robert Morris

Others- Miami OH, Ohio, UNC Wilmington, Boise St., IUPUI, New Mexico St., Cleveland St., Sam Houston St.

5- A-10
4- ACC
3- Big 12, Pac-10
2- Big East, SEC, Mt. West, MVC, C-USA
1- Big Ten, MAC, CAA, WAC, Horizon, Big South, NEC

Bracket Update- 3/12

Bracket will be updated at least daily until Selection Sunday

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Texas (Big 12)
Duke
Kansas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Louisville
Xavier (A-10)
Stanford

4 seeds
Notre Dame
Purdue
UConn
Vandy

5 seeds
Drake (MVC)
Indiana
Michigan St.
Washington St.

6 seeds
Butler (Horizon)
Marquette
Clemson
USC

7 seeds
Pitt
Oklahoma
BYU (Mt. West)
Gonzaga

8 seeds
Kansas St.
West Virginia
Miami Fl.
Miss St.

9 seeds
UNLV
St. Mary’s
Baylor
Arizona

10 seeds
UMass
Arkansas
Texas A&M
Kentucky

11 seeds
Villanova
Kent St. (MAC)
Arizona St.
Davidson (Southern)

12 seeds
South Alabama
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
New Mexico
San Diego (WCC)

13 seeds
Illinois St.
George Mason (CAA)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Utah St. (WAC)

14 seed
Siena (MAAC)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Cornell (Ivy)
UCSB (Big West)

15 seeds
Belmont (A-Sun)
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)

16 seeds
Portland St. (Big Sky)
UMBC (Am East)
Morgan St. (MEAC)
Mount St. Mary’s (NEC)*
Alabama St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
SEC- 5
ACC- 4
Big Ten- 4
Mt. West- 3
WCC- 3
A-10- 2
MVC- 2
Sun Belt- 2

In
Western Kentucky
San Diego
Siena
Mount St. Mary’s

Out
Syracuse
Ohio St.
Rider
Sacred Heart

First Four Out
Ohio St., Oregon, Virginia Tech, VCU

Also Considered
Syracuse, Dayton, St. Joe’s, Maryland, Florida

NIT 3/12

NIT
1- Ohio St., Oregon, Virginia Tech, VCU
2- Syracuse, Dayton, St. Joe’s, Maryland
3- Florida, Temple, UAB, Ole Miss
4- Houston, Wake Forest, Southern Illinois, Texas Tech
5- Creighton, Rhode Island, Minnesota, Nebraska
6- Florida St., Oklahoma St., SDSU, Cal
7- Washington, Wright St., Seton Hall, Nevada
8- Akron, Ohio, UNC Asheville, Robert Morris

Others- UNC Wilmington, Boise St., IUPUI, New Mexico St., Cleveland St., Charlotte, Sam Houston St., Miami OH

4- ACC, A-10
3- Big 12, Pac-10
2- Big East, Big Ten, SEC, MVC, MAC, C-USA, CAA
1- Mt. West, WAC, Horizon, Big South, NEC

Bracket Update- 3/10

Next Update: Wed 3/12

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Texas (Big 12)
Duke
Kansas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Louisville
Xavier (A-10)
Stanford

4 seeds
Notre Dame
Purdue
UConn
Vandy

5 seeds
Drake (MVC)
Indiana
Michigan St.
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
Washington St.
Marquette
Gonzaga (WCC)
Clemson

7 seeds
USC
BYU (Mt. West)
Pitt
Oklahoma

8 seeds
Kansas St.
West Virginia
Miami Fl.
Miss St.

9 seeds
UNLV
St. Mary’s
Baylor
Arizona

10 seeds
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
UMass
Arkansas
Texas A&M

11 seeds
Kentucky
Kent St. (MAC)
Syracuse
Arizona St.

12 seeds
Villanova
Davidson (Southern)
New Mexico
Ohio St.

13 seeds
Illinois St.
George Mason (CAA)
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Utah St. (WAC)

14 seed
UCSB (Big West)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)
Cornell (Ivy)
Belmont (A-Sun)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Winthrop (Big South)
Portland St. (Big Sky)

16 seeds
UMBC (Am East)
Rider (MAAC)
Morgan St. (MEAC)
Sacred Heart (NEC)*
Alabama St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 9
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
Big Ten- 5
SEC- 5
ACC- 4
Mt. West- 3
A-10- 2
MVC- 2
WCC- 2

In
Syracuse
Ohio St.
New Mexico
George Mason
Utah St.
Sacred Heart

Out
St. Joe’s
Maryland
UAB
VCU
Boise St.
Robert Morris

First Four Out
Oregon, Virginia Tech, Maryland, VCU

Also Considered
Western Kentucky, Florida, St. Joe’s, Dayton

NIT 3/10

NIT

1- Oregon, Virginia Tech, Maryland, VCU
2- Western Kentucky, Florida, St. Joe’s, Dayton
3- Temple, UAB, Ole Miss, Houston
4- Rhode Island, Wake Forest, Southern Illinois, Texas Tech
5- Creighton, Minnesota, Cal, Nebraska
6- Florida St., Oklahoma St., SDSU, Washington
7- Wright St., Seton Hall, Nevada, Akron
8- Ohio, UNC Wilmington, UNC Asheville, Robert Morris

Others- Boise St., IUPUI, New Mexico St., Cleveland St., Charlotte, Sam Houston St.

4- ACC, A-10
3- Big 12, Pac-10
2- SEC, MVC, C-USA, CAA, MAC
1- Big East, Big Ten, Mt. West, Sun Belt, WAC, Horizon, Big South, NEC

Bracket Update- 3/7

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Duke
Kansas (Big 12)
Texas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Louisville
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Stanford
Xavier (A-10)

4 seeds
Notre Dame
Indiana
Vandy
Michigan St.

5 seeds
Purdue
UConn
Drake (MVC)
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
Washington St.
Marquette
Gonzaga (WCC)
Clemson

7 seeds
USC
Pitt
BYU (Mt. West)
St. Mary’s

8 seeds
Miami Fl.
Miss St.
Arizona
Texas A&M

9 seeds
Oklahoma
West Virginia
Kansas St.
UNLV

10 seeds
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Baylor
Arkansas
UMass

11 seeds
Kentucky
Kent St. (MAC)
St. Joe’s
Arizona St.

12 seeds
Maryland
Illinois St.
VCU (CAA)
Villanova

13 seeds
Davidson (Southern)
UAB
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

14 seed
Cornell (Ivy)
UCSB (Big West)
Boise St. (WAC)
Belmont (A-Sun)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
UMBC (Am East)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Portland St. (Big Sky)

16 seeds
Winthrop (Big South)
Rider (MAAC)
Robert Morris (NEC)
Morgan St. (MEAC)*
Alabama St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
ACC- 5
SEC- 5
Big Ten- 4
A-10- 3
C-USA- 2
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2
WCC- 2

In
Kentucky
UCSB

Out
Florida
Cal State Northridge

First Four Out
New Mexico, Ohio St., Syracuse, Florida

Also Considered
Virginia Tech, Western Kentucky, Oregon, Rhode Island, Dayton, Houston

NIT 3/7

NIT
1- New Mexico, Ohio St., Syracuse, Florida
2- Va Tech, Western Kentucky, Oregon, Rhode Island
3- Dayton, Houston, Ole Miss, Southern Illinois
4- Wake Forest, Temple, Texas Tech, Creighton
5- Minnesota, Cal, Nebraska, Florida St.
6- SDSU, George Mason, Wright St., Seton Hall
7- OK St., Washington, Nevada, Akron
8- Ohio, UNC Wilmington, Utah St., UNC Asheville

Others- IUPUI, Duquesne, Utah, NC St., Bradley, Richmond, New Mexico St., Cleveland St., UTEP, Sam Houston St., CS Fullerton, Western Michigan

3- ACC, Big 12, Pac-10, A-10
2- Big East, Big Ten, SEC, Mt. West, MVC, CAA, MAC, WAC
1- C-USA, Sun Belt, Horizon, Big South

Bracket Update- 3/3

*My field is based on games played, my projections, and what I think the committee will do*

1 seeds
Memphis (C-USA)
Tennessee (SEC)
UNC (ACC)
UCLA (Pac-10)

2 seeds
Duke
Kansas (Big 12)
Texas
Georgetown (Big East)

3 seeds
Stanford
Louisville
Xavier (A-10)
Wisconsin (Big Ten)

4 seeds
UConn
Purdue
Notre Dame
Michigan St.

5 seeds
Vandy
Indiana
Drake (MVC)
Butler (Horizon)

6 seeds
Clemson
Washington St.
Marquette
Pitt

7 seeds
Gonzaga (WCC)
USC
Miss St.
BYU (Mt. West)

8 seeds
St. Mary’s
Baylor
Miami Fl.
UNLV

9 seeds
Arizona
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Texas A&M

10 seeds
West Virginia
South Alabama (Sun Belt)
Kansas St.
Arizona St.

11 seeds
UMass
Kent St. (MAC)
Maryland
Illinois St.

12 seeds
Florida
St. Joe’s
VCU (CAA)
Villanova

13 seeds
Davidson (Southern)
UAB
Oral Roberts (Summit)
Stephen F. Austin (Southland)

14 seed
Cornell (Ivy)
Boise St. (WAC)
Belmont (A-Sun)
Cal State Northridge (Big West)

15 seeds
American (Patriot)
UMBC (Am East)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Portland St. (Big Sky)

16 seeds
Winthrop (Big South)
Rider (MAAC)
Robert Morris (NEC)
Morgan St. (MEAC)*
Alabama St. (SWAC)*

*- play-in game

Big East- 8
Big 12- 6
Pac 10- 6
ACC- 5
SEC- 5
Big Ten- 4
A-10- 3
C-USA- 2
Mt. West- 2
MVC- 2
WCC- 2

In
Arizona St.
UAB

Out
Wake Forest
Syracuse

First Four Out
Western Kentucky, Kentucky, Syracuse, New Mexico

Also Considered
Rhode Island, Oregon, Dayton, Ohio St., Houston, Wake Forest

NIT 3/3

NIT
1- Western Kentucky, Kentucky, Syracuse, New Mexico
2- Rhode Island, Oregon, Dayton, Ohio St.
3- Houston, Wake Forest, Va Tech, Texas Tech
4- Southern Illinois, Ole Miss, Cal, Nebraska
5- Creighton, Minnesota, SDSU, George Mason
6- Florida St., Temple, Wright St., Seton Hall
7- OK St., Washington, Nevada, Akron
8- Ohio, UNC Wilmington, Utah St., IUPUI

Others- Duquesne, Utah, NC St., Bradley, Richmond, New Mexico St., Cleveland St., UTEP, Sam Houston St., CS Fullerton, UCSB, Western Michigan, Geo Southern

3- ACC, Big 12, Pac-10, A-10
2- Big East, Big Ten, SEC, Mt. West, MVC, CAA, MAC, WAC
1- C-USA, Sun Belt, Horizon, Summit